Jane Galt has a good…

Jane Galt has a good, balanced piece about global warming, how it’s reported, and how both sides need to just calm down and get their facts in order. I’ve been saying all along that there’s way too much uncertainty in this field to be setting public policy based on it. Jane covers, in part, the history of revisions in projections to make them closer to reality once they’re proven wrong.

Finally, we are all prone to think that we are right. Scientists advocating aggressive models of warming may be right — or they may be overconfident. A look at the history of downward revisions in warming projections is educational on that score. According to journalists, the scientists were every bit as certain about projections that were as much as 4 degrees celcius higher, just a short time ago. A little humility about the much-vaunted scientific consensus is in order.

…and a little less fear-mongering.

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