All the rumors have …

All the rumors have Patrick Fitzgerald announcing something about the Plame investigation today, so I thought I’d get this in now.

Considerettes Prediction: None of the charges will relate to outing an undercover CIA operative.

I say this because Valerie Plame had been driving to and from the CIA’s Langley, VA headquarters for over 5 years before this “outing”, and thus wasn’t undercover by any means at the time of the Robert Novak column. No undercover operative would do that. Besides, if that really was an issue, Novak would have been one of the targets for participating in the “outing” even more publicly. News article, opinion columns and blog posts keep referring to her as “undercover” when she was nothing of the sort, but it does make for better news copy or pundit fodder.

What charges we do get will relate to the investigation itself; things like perjury or obstruction of justice. Those actions, while they are serious and should be prosecuted to the fullest, and while certainly many a pundit will point to them as “proof” that the “outing” was a crime, will not speak at all to the “outing” itself.

(Cross-posted at Stones Cry Out. Comments welcome.)

UPDATE: Right so far.

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